Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)


	Nacional Montevideo		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	10
	1.26	5.25	10	Watch
	1.28	4.75	8.5
	1.24	5.2	10
	1.28	5.82	11.42
	1.25	4.8	11
	1.25	5.35	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)	5.17 ↑ (4.98)	10.2 ↑ (9.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
73.1%

Draw
17.9%

Rentistas
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

18.8%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.9%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Rentistas will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.

Recent matches Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rentistas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.22	Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.22	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:4 ✺
26.07.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
12.02.22	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:4
24.10.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	2:2
27.06.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	1:1
07.04.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:1
04.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0
28.05.16	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	2:0
29.11.15	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:2

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