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Current Win Probability
Nacional Montevideo 66.9%
Draw 20.8%
Rentistas 12.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.8%
20.8%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.8%
18.1%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Rogel A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Veron T. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Botta R. ⚽,
90', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
Nacional arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Rentistas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, Nacional enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Nacional in today's match, at odds of 1.42.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 29:11 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 15:4 goals (averaging 2.5:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Nacional Montevideo - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.83%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
South America
Uruguay
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