The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Danubio 21.4%
Draw 25.8%
Nacional Montevideo 52.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.7%
25.2%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
24.7%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Danubio - Nacional Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.
In recent outings, Danubio has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nacional shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Danubio could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Nacional has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Nacional carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Danubio has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:29 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Danubio against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:17 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).
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