Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 18

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Russia	Okko Sport
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.25
	2.3	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.47	3	3.49
	2.37	3.01	3.37	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.4	3.06	3.24	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.92)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
39.9%

Draw
31.3%

Talleres de Córdoba
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

30.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Talleres de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talleres de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talleres de Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Talleres will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 14. Coronel K. 16. Alvarez F. 2. Ramirez T. 6. Vega R. 7. Rodriguez S. 8. Rodriguez A. (C) 30. Mac Allister F. 11. Herrera J. 9. Romero M. 27. Molina T.	22. Herrera G. (C) 29. Benavidez G. 28. Portillo J. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Riveros B. 7. Galarza M. A. 30. Ortegoza U. 11. Depietri V. 10. Botta R. 32. Barticciotto B. 9. Girotti F.
Substitutes
32. Cordero N. 19. Galvan J. 36. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 31. Guillen M. 22. Lescano A. 18. Meza F. 21. Oroz N. 28. Perello M. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 10. Veron G. 29. Viveros E.	38. Albarracin G. 23. Esquivel M. 8. Galarza M. 35. Kummer T. 14. Martinez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 16. Navarro M. 27. Portilla J. 18. Ruiz R. 3. Suarez L. 25. Tarragona C. 13. Vigo A.
Coaches
Zermatten C.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Molina T. 🟨,
29', Depietri V. 🟨,
36', Rodriguez A. ↓, Oroz N. ↑,
45', Botta R. 🟨,
45', Herrera J. 🟨,
45', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mac Allister F. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Lescano A. ↑,
59', Depietri V. ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
60', Galarza M. A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽, Coronel K. (A),
66', 2 - 0, Romero M. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
68', Girotti F. ↓, Tarragona C. ↑,
68', Botta R. ↓, Esquivel M. ↑,
68', Ortegoza U. 🟨,
75', Romero M. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
77', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
79', Herrera J. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
86', Ramirez T. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Lescano A. ⚽, Gamarra A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Argentinos Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Injury) Prieto S. (Injury) Sanchez L. (Injury)

There will not play in Talleres: Gomez M. (Injury) Moyano F. (Red Card)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.10.24	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Independiente - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Racing	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.09.24	Boca Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
21.09.23	Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
06.08.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.22	Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.21	Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2
30.10.19	Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0

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