Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Israel	Sport 3, Sport 4
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV6
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.95	4.2	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.95	Watch
	2.13	3.03	4.29
	1.97	3.17	4.24	Watch
	2.06	2.98	4.05	Watch
	2.1	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.94)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	4.12 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
45.8%

Draw
31.2%

Argentinos Juniors
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

31.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

30%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	29.4%	0%

Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 8. Carlos Palacios 43. Delgado M. 5. Paredes L. (C) 7. Zeballos E. 9. Gimenez M. 16. Miguel Merentiel	12. Siri Payer G. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 23. Lopez H. 27. Molina T. 47. Porcel D.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 6. Battaglia R. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 10. Cavani E. 4. Figal J. 21. Herrera A. 26. Pellegrino M. 22. Zenon K.	26. Bravo C. 30. Brondo M. 14. Coronel K. 21. Florentin G. 7. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez L. 1. Mangiaut A. (G) 42. Ovando L. 2. Palacio T. 25. Riquelme R. D. 18. Sosa I. 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽,
33', Paredes L. 🟨,
43', Godoy E. 🟨,
43', Zeballos E. 🟨,
45+5', Oroz N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
63', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
63', Gimenez M. ↓, Cavani E. ↑,
64', Oroz N. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
73', Carlos Palacios ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
74', Delgado M. 🟨,
77', Prieto S. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
80', Zeballos E. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
81', Delgado M. ↓, Battaglia R. ↑,
89', Belmonte T. 🟨,
89', Lopez H. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Boca Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Argentinos Juniors's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of away games.

Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Rey Domenech C. (Inactive) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Antoni M. (Muscle Injury) Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Inactive) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Romero S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.11.25	Boca Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Boca Juniors - Tigre	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Boca Juniors - River Plate	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.11.25	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.11.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.25	Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.07.25	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	0:0
26.01.25	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
06.10.24	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
19.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	0:1
19.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	2:0
Copa Argentina
03.11.21	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.21	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:1

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