Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Ariana		Kalaâ

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.15	4.65
	1.74	3.34	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.69	3.26	4.96
	1.76	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	4.59 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
52.3%

Draw
28%

Kalaâ
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Kalaâ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalaâ than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ariana - Kalaâ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Nacer A. B. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

In recent matches, Ariana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalaâ is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ariana is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Ariana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
14.12.25	Ariana - Moknine	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	EGS Gafsa - Ariana	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ariana - Bouchamma	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Sidi Bouzid - Ariana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWL
- Kalaâ Sport
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Korba - Kalaâ	6:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
14.12.25	Jendouba Sport - Kalaâ	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kalaâ - Union Ksour Essef	3:4 ✺
30.11.25	Redeyef - Kalaâ	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
21.09.25	Kalaâ - Ariana	1:1
22.02.25	Ariana - Kalaâ	5:2
02.11.24	Kalaâ - Ariana	3:2
07.02.24	Kalaâ - Ariana	0:2
Tunisian Cup
27.01.24	Kalaâ - Ariana	3:2 penalties

Ariana - Kalaâ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide