Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Aris		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	2.02	3.42	3.89
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.73)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	3.63 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

Kolos Kovalivka
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

18.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris's form might have worsened.

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.8%	8.5%	27.7%

Aris - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 30 - 63.8%). Kolos will win (votes: 13 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 50.1% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches Aris is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kolos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kolos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Aris will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Cypriot Division 2
11.09.20	Onisillos Sotiras - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
11.09.20	Aris - Lamia	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Aris - Niki Volos	0:0 ✺
28.08.20	Aris - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
25.08.20	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTLW
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Lviv	4:0 ✺
21.08.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	3:1 ✺
29.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0 ET ✺
25.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	4:1 ✺
19.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52.8 WLWWW

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