Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
North-macedonia	Sportklub 5
Usa	SportPlus


	Aris		Lamia

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	10
	1.29	5.25	9.75
	1.28	5.4	9.5
	1.3	5.63	10.17
	1.3	5.39	8.99	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.3	5.6	9.9	Watch
	1.3	5.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.45 ↑ (4.53)	9.73 ↑ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
73%

Draw
17.3%

Lamia
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.8%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

19.8%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Aris - Lamia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lamia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Julian (G) 33. Montoya M. 92. Rose L. 14. Brabec J. 27. Juankar 5. Cifuentes J. 8. Monchu 7. Sisto P. 6. Molo 99. Diandy C. 80. Moron L.	12. Kostic I. (G) 33. Kornezos G. 4. Leo Andrade 94. Giannoutsos G. 27. Radonja V. 23. Doiranlis G. 7. Nunez C. 3. Saramantas G. 17. Bykov A. 19. Ring S. 9. Guindo S.
Substitutes
16. Darida V. 3. Fabiano 10. Fetfatzidis G. 22. Mallo H. 21. Pardo R. 19. Quaison R. 20. Sidklev F. (G) 93. Suleymanov S. 9. Zamora A.	20. Athanasakopoulos A. 2. Dentakis A. 5. Gotzamanidis N. 18. Henriquez A. 8. Mekic N. 1. Raton A. (G) 13. Sandberg S. 22. Siovas D. 21. Vitlis V.
Coaches
Mantzios A.	Satsias M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Moron L. ⚽, Monchu (A),
28', Saramantas G. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Moron L. ⚽, Cifuentes J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saramantas G. ↓, Mekic N. ↑,
55', Ring S. 🟨,
63', Sisto P. ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
65', Leo Andrade 🟨,
66', Doiranlis G. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
72', Cifuentes J. ↓, Darida V. ↑,
72', Diandy C. ↓, Fetfatzidis G. ↑,
80', Radonja V. ↓, Dentakis A. ↑,
80', Bykov A. ↓, Athanasakopoulos A. ↑,
85', Montoya M. 🟨,
87', Juankar ↓, Fabiano ↑,
87', Moron L. ↓, Quaison R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aris won 2.

Aris is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lamia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Aris is certain favorite.

There are questionable in Aris: Fabiano (Muscle Injury) Mallo H. (Injury) Velez F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aris won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:18 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.5:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
29.09.24	PAOK - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
25.09.24	Ethnikos Piraeus - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
21.09.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	OFI - Aris	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLT
- Lamia FC
Greek Super League
30.09.24	Lamia - Panserraikos	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
26.09.24	AE Kifisia - Lamia	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
22.09.24	Atromitos Athens - Lamia	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Lamia - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.24	Aris - Lamia	0:1
Greek Super League
15.05.24	Lamia - Aris	2:4
31.03.24	Aris - Lamia	3:1
20.12.23	Aris - Lamia	2:2
27.08.23	Lamia - Aris	1:0
05.03.23	Lamia - Aris	2:1
08.11.22	Aris - Lamia	5:0

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