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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 57.9%
Draw 23.8%
Górnik Łęczna 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
25.1%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
26.5%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.
Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arka Gdynia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Łęczna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lenarcik P. (G) 32. Stolc P. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 20. Borecki M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 19. Rzuchowski M. 27. Oliveira J. 10. Czubak K.
44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 14. Szabaciuk F. 5. Broda M. 18. Barauskas D. 10. Deja A. (C) 16. Zyra P. 95. Roginic M. 11. Janaszek F. 23. Oduko O. 19. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
38. Gorecki K. 6. Lipkowski K. 2. Navarro M. 16. Ratajczyk A. 21. Skora K. 7. Sobczak S. 31. Staniszewski J. 14. Vitalucci H. 77. Weglarz D. (G)
99. Akhmedov B. 3. Grabowski M. 20. Malamis P. 22. Orlik K. 1. Pindroch B. (G) 17. Spacil B. 7. Traore S. 9. Turski H. 25. Zbozien D.
Coaches
Lobodzinski W.
Stano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, Marcjanik M. (A),
15', Deja A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Banaszak P. (Pen),
37', Barauskas D. 🟨,
38', Banaszak P. 🟨,
45', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Borecki M. 🟨,
63', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
63', Borecki M. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Zyra P. ⚽, Bednarczyk J. (A),
68', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
68', Oliveira J. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
70', Broda M. 🟨,
73', Rzuchowski M. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
79', Janaszek F. ↓, Malamis P. ↑,
79', Deja A. ↓, Grabowski M. ↑,
79', Banaszak P. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
83', Czubak K. 🟨,
84', Roginic M. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
86', Oduko O. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
90+4', Vitalucci H. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 1.
Arka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Górnik Łęczna in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Górnik Łęczna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Arka is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Arka won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.
Poland
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Lenarcik P. (G) 
Hermoso K. 
Gaprindashvili T. 
Oliveira J. 
Barauskas D. 
Roginic M. 
Oduko O. 
Vitalucci H. 
Akhmedov B. 
Pindroch B. (G) 
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