Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.05
	3.32	3.63	1.97	Watch
	3.27	3.54	2.03
	2.78	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.07 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
29.2%

Draw
26.3%

Polonia Warsaw
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

22.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Polonia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Polonia (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Polonia (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 74. Kruk K. 5. Broda M. 19. Szczytniewski S. 10. Deja A. 8. Kryeziu E. (C) 22. Orlik K. 11. Tkacz D. 17. Spacil B. 95. Janaszek F.	96. Kuchta M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 97. Janasik P. 26. Gnaase D. 17. Dadok R. 8. Wojciechowski O. 19. Vasin N. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 53. Budzilek L. (G) 73. Doba S. 15. Krawczyk S. 20. Malamis P. 23. Ogaga D. 88. Osipiuk O. 86. Rafa Santos 7. Traore S.	10. Bajdur M. 77. Buksa A. 18. Falbierski B. 14. Gorzedowski M. 21. Kapusta A. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G)
Coaches
Rusek D.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Dadok R. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Salihu H. (A),
24', Kruk K. 🟨,
25', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Wojciechowski O. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Spacil B. ⚽, Kryeziu E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Salihu H. 🟨,
72', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
74', Kryeziu E. ↓, Rafa Santos ↑,
76', Vasin N. 🟨,
81', Orlik K. 🟨,
81', Dadok R. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
85', Spacil B. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
85', Janaszek F. ↓, Doba S. ↑,
86', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
88', Vasin N. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).

In recent matches, Górnik Łęczna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Polonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
05.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Gryf Słupsk - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.02.25	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
10.08.24	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	3:1
12.05.24	Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	0:2
11.11.23	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	0:0

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