Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Pogoń Szczecin		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.65	Watch
	1.64	4.15	5.17
	1.68	4.14	4.78	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.63	3.96	4.81	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.99 ↑ (3.51)	4.89 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
57.4%

Draw
23.4%

Arka Gdynia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Arka (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Arka (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 32. Koutris L. 8. Ulvestad F. 3. Acosta K. 18. Mukairu P. 14. Pozo J. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 24. Angielski K.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Szota S. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 35. Jakubczyk K. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 31. Rusyn N. 37. Kerk S. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
15. Ali H. 6. Bieganski J. 30. Czaplinski J. 90. Greenwood S. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 47. Lawa N. 17. Lis J. 22. Loncar D. 23. Mendy B. 19. Ndiaye M. 21. Rojek S. 61. Smolinski K.	33. Abramowicz D. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 19. Gutkovskis V. 23. Hermoso K. 11. Kocyla D. 7. Kubiak O. 27. Oliveira J. 6. Perea L. 21. Szysz P. 4. Zator D.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
40', Navarro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Pozo J. 🟨,
61', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
62', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
63', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Kubiak O. ↑,
63', Navarro M. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
64', Acosta K. 🟨,
65', Pozo J. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
73', Rusyn N. ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
76', Koutris L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
77', Acosta K. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
85', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
86', Gojny D. ↓, Abramowicz D. ↑,
86', Grosicki K. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
89', Mendy B. 🟨,
90+3', Abramowicz D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 0.

Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Mendy B. (Inactive) Molnar R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWTL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
21.11.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0
15.11.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	1:1
22.01.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.19	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1
29.07.19	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	2:0
Club Friendly
30.06.19	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:4

Upcoming Matches