Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Arka Gdynia		Resovia Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8
	1.42	4.33	6.5
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.42	4.63	7.24
	1.42	4.63	7.24
	1.35	4.33	7
	1.39	4.49	7.26	Watch
	1.38	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	4.41 ↓ (4.77)	7.09 ↑ (7.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
65.9%

Draw
21%

Resovia Rzeszów
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.3%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The chances for Resovia Rzeszów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Lenarcik P. (G) 32. Stolc P. 29. Marcjanik M. 13. Azatsky O. (C) 94. Gojny D. 20. Borecki M. 39. Lipkowski K. 21. Skora K. 8. Sidibe A. 7. Kobacki O. 10. Czubak K.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 23. Tomal J. 2. Bondarenko M. 38. Bukhal G. 4. Mikulec R. 14. Urynowicz M. 6. Wasiluk B. (C) 24. Eizenchart B. 10. Lyszczarz A. 9. Gorski M. 7. Ibe-Torti K.
Substitutes
84. Chudy M. (G) 33. Depka P. (G) 27. Hafez A. 2. Navarro M. 38. Predenkiewicz M. 31. Staniszewski J. 19. Szymanski M. 17. Turski H.	20. Bak R. 13. Gliwa M. (G) 19. Jaroch G. 99. Kanach R. 21. Lempereur D. 11. Mazek K. 97. Mikrut F. 8. Pieniazek D. 90. Zastavnyi V.
Coaches
Lobodzinski W.	Ulatowski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Sidibe A. 🟨,
8', Mikulec R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Gorski M. ⚽, Tomal J. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Azatsky O. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Skora K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, Skora K. ⚽,
65', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Mazek K. ↑,
65', Urynowicz M. ↓, Kanach R. ↑,
65', Tomal J. ↓, Bak R. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Gorski M. ⚽,
79', Lipkowski K. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
79', Borecki M. ↓, Szymanski M. ↑,
79', Skora K. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
85', Wasiluk B. ↓, Jaroch G. ↑,
90+1', Kobacki O. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 4.

Arka is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Resovia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Resovia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arka is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arka won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
24.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWW
- FC Resovia Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
23.04.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	GKS Tychy - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
12.04.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Stal Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.10.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:2
03.03.23	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	4:0
10.08.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:3
01.05.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	4:1
23.10.21	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	2:0
14.05.21	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0
21.11.20	Resovia Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:2

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