The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 54.8%
Draw 24.2%
Stal Rzeszów 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
21.1%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
19.9%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.
Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Rzeszów's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arka Gdynia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. 23. Lewkot S. 14. Kun D. 16. Solecki K. 77. Walus F. 39. Milewski M. 9. Gutkovskis V.
1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 2. Machura W. 21. Thiede M. 39. Kaczor M. 77. Kukulka K. 29. Listkowski M. 8. Goss S. 44. Buksa A. 27. Rittmuller M. 10. Jonathan Junior 17. Madej O.
Substitutes
28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Demirovic E. 5. Dominguez J. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 71. Kowalski J. . Lipkowski K. . Pawlowski B. . Rama E. 43. Zacharewicz W.
22. Bieniaszewski R. 16. Brzek W. 3. Krasovskiy V. 66. Leniart M. 11. Masiak K. 15. Pukala S. 76. Salamon S. 12. Sokol M. (G) 41. Zieja D.
Coaches
Jarolim M.
Zub M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Lewkot S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Gutkovskis V. ⚽,
39', Machura W. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Gruszkowski K. (A),
59', 3 - 0, Milewski M. ⚽,
59', Machura W. ↓, Pukala S. ↑,
59', Madej O. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
61', Lewkot S. ↓, Ambrosiewicz M. ↑,
61', Walus F. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Pawlowski B. (A),
70', Jonathan Junior ↓, Salamon S. ↑,
71', Kun D. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
71', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rama E. ↑,
75', Rittmuller M. ↓, Krasovskiy V. ↑,
75', Goss S. ↓, Leniart M. ↑,
81', Solecki K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
88', Gruszkowski K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Stal Rzeszów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arka is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).