The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 41.9%
Draw 26.8%
Termalica Nieciecza 31.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
25%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
25.1%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 6. Lipkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 8. Sidibe A. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 16. Solecki K. 11. Kocyla D. 77. Walus F. 9. Gutkovskis V.
1. Chovan A. (G) 20. Jaroszewski M. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 16. Kozik M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 8. Kurzawa R. 13. Kubica K. 15. Dabrowski S. 19. Durdov I. 26. Jakubik W.
Substitutes
72. Demirovic E. 44. Dominguez J. 17. Dziegielewski N. 33. Grobelny J. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 71. Kowalski J. 14. Kun D. 39. Milewski M. 98. Rama E.
17. Biniek D. 6. Drag M. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. . Surowiec P. 44. Synos M. 76. Topor E. (G) 25. Zapolnik K. 4. Zarowny A.
Coaches
Grzegorczyk T.
Brosz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kocyla D. ⚽, Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Gutkovskis V. ⚽, Lipkowski K. (A),
32', Kubica K. 🟨,
35', Sidibe A. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Ambrosiewicz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
46', Masoero L. ↓, Synos M. ↑,
51', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
55', 3 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Kurzawa R. (A),
57', Sidibe A. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
57', Walus F. ↓, Milewski M. ↑,
67', Arndt D. ↓, Grobelny J. ↑,
81', Dabrowski S. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
82', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rama E. ↑,
83', Kocyla D. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
83', Solecki K. 🟨,
85', Putivtsev A. ↓, Zarowny A. ↑,
88', Szota S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
Arka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Termalica is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arka has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:37 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 16:19 goals (averaging 1.6:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Arka Gdynia
12
4
2
6
16:16
0
14
Last Results with these Odds
Termalica Nieciecza - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.