The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 56.7%
Draw 23%
Termalica Nieciecza 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
25.7%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
22.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arka Gdynia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
5.6%
11.1%
Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Arka Gdynia will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arka Gdynia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. (C) 33. Abramowicz D. 11. Kocyla D. 35. Jakubczyk K. 22. Rzuchowski M. 21. Szysz P. 7. Kubiak O. 19. Gutkovskis V. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
1. Chovan A. (G) 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 6. Wolski M. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 86. Strzalek I. 23. Guerrero S. 21. Hilbrycht D. 25. Zapolnik K. 9. Jimenez J.
Substitutes
9. Gaprindashvili T. 94. Gojny D. 37. Kerk S. 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 8. Sidibe A. 3. Szota S. 77. Weglarz D. (G) 4. Zator D.
19. Durdov I. 26. Jakubik W. 24. Janicki M. (G) 32. Matysik M. 35. Surowiec K. 16. Surowiec P. 53. Trubeha A.
Coaches
Banasik D.
Brosz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Hilbrycht D. ⚽,
25', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
38', Hermoso K. 🟨,
42', Wolski M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Kubiak O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Strzalek I. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Gutkovskis V. ⚽,
65', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
66', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
68', Kocyla D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
68', Szysz P. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Kasperkiewicz A. ⚽, Masoero L. (A),
79', Rzuchowski M. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
79', Kubiak O. ↓, Gojny D. ↑,
80', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
89', Trubeha A. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Durdov I. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
90+5', Guerrero S. ↓, Matysik M. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Termalica is Relegated to Division 1
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arka is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Arka: Perea L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Termalica: Isik G.
(Yellow Cards)
Kopacz B.
(Injury)
Kurzawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
Canada
Croatia
Finland
North-macedonia
Poland
Serbia
Usa
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Grobelny J. (G) 
Hermoso K. 
Gutkovskis V. 
Chovan A. (G) 
Masoero L. 
Putivtsev A. (C) 
Gaprindashvili T. 
Kerk S. 
Nguiamba A. 
Sidibe A. 
Zator D. 
Durdov I. 
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