Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 23

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Midgardsvallen (Märsta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Arlanda		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.20	3.75	1.61
	4.2	3.7	1.68
	4.45	3.82	1.69
	4.49	4.05	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.67
	4.16	4.06	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.52)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlanda
21.3%

Draw
23.8%

Hammarby TFF
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby TFF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arlanda - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby TFF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hammarby TFF will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)	1. Opancar E. (G) 4. Eklund C. (C) 23. Ek N. 16. Elezaj G. 10. Hana G. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 2. Lwampindy-Bofua E. 7. Moczarny O. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I.
Substitutes
11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 16. Drugge J. 30. Karo A. (G) 25. Koroma R. 12. Nyman L.	19. Andren G. 13. Camara A. 5. Dwomoh R. 15. Gibson W. 14. Krasniqi L. 20. Lohake A. 35. Nyberg G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kleist L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Antholm I. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Rydz S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Musa I. ↓, Andren G. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Elezaj G. ⚽,
50', Elezaj G. ↓, Gibson W. ↑,
55', 4 - 1, Kleist L. ⚽,
65', 4 - 2, Gibson W. ⚽,
66', Yemane Y. 🟨,
67', Antholm I. ↓, Drugge J. ↑,
74', Rehman S. ↓, Carlsson J. ↑,
74', Charbachi A. ↓, Bergstedt O. ↑,
79', Lwampindy-Bofua E. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
82', Rydz S. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
82', Butros M. ↓, Koroma R. ↑,
90+4', Drugge J. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 3rd).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Hammarby TFF carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arlanda against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.09.26	Gefle - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.09.26	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Sollentuna	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Hammarby TFF	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Arlanda	5:1
05.10.25	Hammarby TFF - Arlanda	3:1
08.06.25	Arlanda - Hammarby TFF	1:0

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