Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 13

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Midgardsvallen (Märsta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Arlanda		Stocksund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.40	4.80
	1.49	4.30	4.80	Watch
	1.50	4.85	4.88
	1.51	4.94	4.93	Watch
	1.44	4.20	4.75
	1.54	4.66	4.92	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)	4.55 ↑ (4.45)	4.91 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlanda
61.3%

Draw
20.1%

Stocksund
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arlanda - Stocksund Predictions

Users Predictions: Arlanda will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 16. Bergstedt O. 22. Butros M. 18. Carlsson J. 5. Elfstrom V. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 7. Rehman S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)	1. Rhawi J. (G) 7. Badome S. 20. Bodvik E. 6. Boto D. 10. Engstrom K. 5. Floric A. 8. Johansson A. 3. Mihajlovic L. 9. Rauf Y. 4. Royo C. (C) 11. Wennerlind L.
Substitutes
3. Aslan M. 12. Dedic A. 24. Dibaga D. 6. Gorgos M. 30. Karo A. (G) 25. Koroma R. 9. Strangborn F.	17. Bengtsson J. 12. Jesslen H. 2. Johansson J. 14. Jonsson C. 19. Maache N. 15. Mumuni A. L. 16. Wagberg N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Johansson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Bergstedt O. 🟨,
53', Giordano Eriksson I. 🟨,
55', Elfstrom V. 🟨,
56', Bergstedt O. ↓, Gorgos M. ↑,
56', Giordano Eriksson I. ↓, Dibaga D. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Butros M. ⚽,
63', Dibaga D. 🟨,
74', Royo C. 🟨,
74', Antholm I. ↓, Strangborn F. ↑,
84', Bodvik E. ↓, Maache N. ↑,
86', Rehman S. ↓, Koroma R. ↑,
87', Butros M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stocksund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arlanda is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arlanda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.06.26	Järfälla - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
07.06.26	Arlanda - Assyriska Föreningen	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Arlanda - Gefle	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTT
- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.06.26	Stocksund - Sollentuna	3:3 ✺
08.06.26	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6 ✺
Svenska Cupen
04.06.26	Stocksund - Stockholm Internazionale	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Stocksund - Assyriska Föreningen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.08.25	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:1
23.05.25	Arlanda - Stocksund	5:3
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
12.10.21	Stocksund - Arlanda	5:2
23.06.21	Arlanda - Stocksund	1:1

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