Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 26

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Milltown (Warrenpoint)


	Warrenpoint Town		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.2	3.15	3.1
	1.99	3.37	3.28
	2.17	3.4	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.16	3.22	3.05
	1.96	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.75)	3.22 ↓ (3.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
42.8%

Draw
28.1%

Ballinamallard United
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrenpoint Town's form might have worsened.

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballinamallard United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballinamallard United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 2.

Warrenpoint Town is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ballinamallard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ballinamallard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Warrenpoint Town is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
9	Ballinamallard	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
21.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	5:2 ✺
14.02.26	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	4:0 ✺
10.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
21.02.26	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4
25.02.23	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	2:1
08.11.22	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	0:1
Northern Irish Cup
30.03.19	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.18	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	2:0
20.01.18	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:0

Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide