The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 26.8%
Draw 28%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
27.1%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
18.3%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Arminia Bielefeld have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
95 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 26 - 27.4%). Borussia M will win (votes: 43 - 45.3%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 27.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 35.3% – 55.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).
Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (18.43%), has project points - 35, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia M has the most likely position - 11 (13.65%), has project points - 42, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arminia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Borussia M is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia M could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Borussia M will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Arminia to win the game is with odds 3.35.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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