Match Info

Date: 21 January 2022, Friday


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.6	5.25
	1.7	3.5	5.4
	1.74	3.75	5.48
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.76	3.54	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	5.34 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
55.4%

Draw
26.7%

Arminia Bielefeld
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

16.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Eintracht Frankfurt have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eintracht Frankfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arminia Bielefeld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82%	11.5%	6.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (150 of 183 users predict this - 81.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.4% – 87.54%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Eintracht has the most likely position - 9 (12.7%), has project points - 49, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (33.93%), has project points - 32, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Eintracht is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arminia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Eintracht is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eintracht won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Eintracht won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
16.01.22	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
18.12.21	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	1:0 ✺
15.12.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
12.12.21	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
16.01.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
08.01.22	Freiburg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
18.12.21	RB Leipzig - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
14.12.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	2:0 ✺
11.12.21	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
28.08.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
23.01.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:5
19.09.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
German DFB Pokal
28.02.17	Eintracht Frankfurt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0

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