Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	Tring Sport 4
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Australia	beIN Connect
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Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
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World	Onefootball


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.44	3.3	3.17
	2.4	3.28	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3.37	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	3.26 ↓ (3.34)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
39.7%

Draw
29.1%

Union Berlin
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	26.9%	23.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Union Berlin (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Borussia M (3.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 34. Nsoki S. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 13. Schafer A. 7. Burke O.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 8. Sarco A. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L.	10. Ansah I. 30. Bogdanov D. 9. Burcu L. 19. Haberer J. 33. Kral A. 3. Markgraf A. 17. Preu D. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Trimmel C. 🟨,
25', Reitz R. 🟨,
34', Scally J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
64', Haberer J. 🟨,
64', Khedira R. 🟨,
72', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
72', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
72', Mohya W. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
81', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
82', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
88', Burcu L. 🟨,
89', Ansah I. 🟨,
89', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Diks K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Nsoki S. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
90+5', Reitz R. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
90+8', Stoger K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Yellow Cards) Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.17% Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
15.02.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2
28.09.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0
28.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:0
09.12.23	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
23.04.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:1
30.10.22	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1

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