Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 6
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.44	3.3	3.17
	2.4	3.28	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3.37	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	3.26 ↓ (3.34)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
39.7%

Draw
29.1%

Union Berlin
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

28.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	26.9%	23.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Union Berlin (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Borussia M (3.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 34. Nsoki S. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 13. Schafer A. 7. Burke O.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 8. Sarco A. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L.	10. Ansah I. 30. Bogdanov D. 9. Burcu L. 19. Haberer J. 33. Kral A. 3. Markgraf A. 17. Preu D. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Trimmel C. 🟨,
25', Reitz R. 🟨,
34', Scally J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
64', Haberer J. 🟨,
64', Khedira R. 🟨,
72', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
72', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
72', Mohya W. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
81', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
82', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
88', Burcu L. 🟨,
89', Ansah I. 🟨,
89', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Diks K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Nsoki S. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
90+5', Reitz R. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
90+8', Stoger K. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Yellow Cards) Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6
18	B. Monchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.13% Union Berlin: 0.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
15.02.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2
28.09.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0
28.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:0
09.12.23	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
23.04.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:1
30.10.22	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1

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