Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Arminia Bielefeld		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.5
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.86	3.79
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.68	3.58
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
48.1%

Draw
25.7%

Freiburg II
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Arminia Bielefeld will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. (C) 5. Belkahia S. 27. Gohlke G. 4. Oppie L. 11. Yildirim A. 38. Worl M. 8. Schreck S. 7. Shipnoski N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 17. Biankadi M.	31. Jantunen J. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 25. Bichsel J. 13. Muller S. 3. Lungwitz A. 5. Rudlin F. 28. Johansson R. 22. Baur M. 36. Ambros L. 18. Al Ghaddioui H. 29. Breunig M.
Substitutes
10. Boujellab N. 20. Geerkens T. 9. Klos F. 25. Mizuta K. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 34. Putaro L. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 23. Schneider L.	27. Allgaier F. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. 14. Knappe D. 8. Lienhard P. 38. Mack L. (G) 11. Stark J. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Stamm T.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arminia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Ulm 1846 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWW
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Verl - Freiburg II	3:2 ✺
23.08.23	Freiburg II - Unterhaching	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Freiburg II - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

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