Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 35

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Arminia Bielefeld		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.25
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.54	4.63	5.45
	1.55	4.64	5.45
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.54	4.24	5.14
	1.51	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	4.34 ↓ (4.35)	5.4 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
61.3%

Draw
21.5%

Lübeck
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Arminia Bielefeld - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lübeck will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 16. Corboz M. 8. Schreck S. 34. Putaro L. 17. Biankadi M. 14. Momuluh T. 9. Klos F. (C)	1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 27. Reddemann S. 30. Lohden J. 37. Sternberg J. 31. Boland M. (C) 8. Egerer F. 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 16. Beleme D.
Substitutes
10. Boujellab N. 27. Gohlke G. 25. Mizuta K. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 7. Shipnoski N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 38. Worl M. 11. Yildirim A.	34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 39. Breier P. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 11. Drinkuth F. 5. Herzog A. 33. Schneider J. 21. Velasco R. 43. Westphal J.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Martens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Putaro L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Boland M. 🟥,
61', Klos F. 🟨,
61', Schreck S. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
61', Momuluh T. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
69', Putaro L. ↓, Yildirim A. ↑,
72', Beleme D. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
72', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Velasco R. ↑,
78', Oppie L. 🟨,
80', Corboz M. 🟨,
81', Biankadi M. ↓, Boujellab N. ↑,
89', Hauptmann M. ↓, Adou E. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arminia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arminia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
19.04.24	Sandhausen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5 ✺
13.04.24	Unterhaching - Lübeck	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lübeck - Verl	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.11.23	Lübeck - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2

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