Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.20
	3	3.35	2.2	Watch
	3.23	3.65	2.28
	3.11	3.53	2.23	Watch
	3.15	3.55	2.25
	3.16	3.46	2.24	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.49)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.23 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
30.5%

Draw
27%

Arminia Bielefeld
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

24.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darmstadt's form might have worsened.

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Darmstadt (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Darmstadt (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 28. Lannert C. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Pfeiffer P. 18. Petretta R. 5. Richter M. 17. Klefisch K. 23. Sickinger C. 7. Weisshaupt N. 9. Lee Ho-Jae 36. Smit M.	1. Kersken J. (G) 7. Koudossou H. 5. Bauer M. (C) 19. Grosser M. 17. Sicker A. 6. Mehlem M. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 14. Momuluh M. 11. Grodowski J. 10. Rochelt J.
Substitutes
24. Borner B. (G) 4. Dettoni G. 41. Duijvestijn L. 11. El Kadiri I. 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Kehl L. 3. Kleinhansl F. 25. Mikelbrencis W. 10. Verkooijen N.	27. Boakye B. 3. Felix J. 29. Handwerker T. 31. Jensen L. 9. Min D. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 42. Wegener T. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Kirch O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, Weisshaupt N. (A),
33', Momuluh M. 🟨,
35', Petretta R. 🟨,
45+2', Weisshaupt N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Klefisch K. 🟨,
57', Mehlem M. ↓, Min D. ↑,
57', Richter M. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Worl M. ⚽,
66', Koudossou H. 🟨,
75', Momuluh M. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
76', Lee Ho-Jae ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
82', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
82', Sickinger C. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
82', Petretta R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
84', Worl M. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Smit M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 0.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Lakenmacher F. (Muscle Injury) Marseiler L. (Knee Injury) Nurnberger F. (Muscle Injury) Papela M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Hagmann F. (Inactive) Schneider L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.6:2.4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 1% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Arminia Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Darmstadt - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.07%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Darmstadt - Hannover	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	2:1
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
11.03.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	3:1
04.09.22	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
18.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	1:0
01.12.19	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
03.03.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	1:0

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