Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arminia Bielefeld		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.78	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.88	3.86	2.33
	2.48	3.85	2.53	Watch
				Watch
	2.78	3.8	2.25	Watch
	2.52	3.75	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.48)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	2.36 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
34.8%

Draw
25.2%

Elversberg
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Elversberg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Elversberg (1.67) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Elversberg (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 3. Felix J. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 14. Momuluh T. 6. Corboz M. (C) 38. Worl M. 27. Boakye B. 11. Grodowski J. 37. Sarenren Bazee N.	20. Kristof N. (G) 43. Keidel F. 31. Rohr M. 3. Le Joncour F. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. (C) 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 17. Schmahl F. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 24. Lannert C. 20. Micheler F. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A. 30. Young I.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 10. Conte B. 30. Gyamerah J. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 19. Pinckert L. 24. Schnellbacher L. 9. Stange O.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
22', Schmahl F. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Le Joncour F. (Own goal),
45+4', Boakye B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
59', Conde A. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
66', Grodowski J. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
68', Felix J. 🟨,
72', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
72', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
74', Rohr M. 🟨,
79', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
83', Felix J. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
83', Boakye B. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
86', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Kania J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Arminia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Felix J. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	4:3 ✺
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	6:0 ✺
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWT

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