Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 7
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 7
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75
	1.68	3.9	4.6
	1.63	4	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.13	5.15
	1.64	3.99	4.89	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.6
	1.61	3.95	4.79
	1.63	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.95 ↑ (3.87)	4.79 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
56.8%

Draw
23.7%

Rot-Weiß Essen
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Arminia Bielefeld - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: Arminia Bielefeld will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 3. Felix J. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 6. Corboz M. (C) 11. Grodowski J. 28. Uldrikis R. 30. Young I.	1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 2. Eitschberger J. 5. Gjasula K. 28. Moustier T. 3. Wagner M. 26. Musel T. 6. Arslan A. 27. Martinovic D.
Substitutes
17. Biankadi M. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 8. Schreck S. 22. Schroers M.	30. Aninkorah-Meisel K. O. 29. Doumbouya M. 18. Kaiser N. 8. Kaparos J. 16. Kourouma M. 24. Mizuta K. 39. Swajkowski G. 19. Voufack E. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Kniat M.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Musel T. ⚽, Martinovic D. (A),
34', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rios Alonso J. ↓, Voufack E. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Arslan A. ⚽, Martinovic D. (A),
68', Uldrikis R. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
68', Young I. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
68', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↑,
70', Martinovic D. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
77', Worl M. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Sarenren Bazee N. J. ⚽,
81', Kania J. 🟨,
83', Arslan A. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
85', Wagner M. 🟨,
90', Musel T. ↓, Swajkowski G. ↑,
90', Corboz M. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0.

Arminia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rot-Weiß Essen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arminia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arminia is a favorite.

There will not play in Arminia: Schreck S. (Injury)

There will not play in Rot-Weiß Essen: Brumme L. (Yellow Cards) Celebi E. (Injury) Eisfeld T. (Injury) Safi R. (Yellow Cards) Wintzheimer M. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
26.01.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - TSV Havelse	5:1 ✺
07.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Lippstadt 08	6:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
22.12.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWT
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
26.01.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hannover II	5:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.08.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
14.04.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
04.11.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
German DFB Pokal
14.09.20	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
Club Friendly
19.01.18	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
German DFB Pokal
20.08.16	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly
19.01.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1

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