Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Arnedo		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3.34	2.37
	3.22	3.43	2.06
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.69	3.18	2.34
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (4.05)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
32.1%

Draw
28.3%

UD Logroñés Promesas
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.6%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnedo's performance.

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Arnedo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnedo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 2.

Arnedo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UD L Promesas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UD L Promesas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arnedo has had a series of away games.

In this match, UD L Promesas is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arnedo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	Oyonesa - Arnedo	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Anguiano - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Haro Deportivo - Arnedo	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Arnedo - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Villegas - Arnedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTW
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - San Marcial	5:0 ✺
25.01.26	La Calzada - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Varea	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Peña Balsamaiso	6:1 ✺
04.01.26	Autol - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.09.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	2:0
02.02.25	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0
21.09.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	3:2
14.04.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	4:0
26.11.23	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.01.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	3:0
04.09.22	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	3:1

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