The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anguiano 37.7%
Draw 28.7%
Arnedo 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
29%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
31.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anguiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Anguiano - Arnedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Garcia I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Anguiano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Arnedo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Arnedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Anguiano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Anguiano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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