The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arnedo 25%
Draw 29.9%
Utebo 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
29.9%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
28.1%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Arnedo - Utebo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Arnedo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Utebo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Utebo will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Utebo to win the game is with odds 2.