Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Arosa		Juventud Cambados

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.65	5.7
	1.55	3.65	5.9	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.49	3.54	6.75
	1.52	3.66	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	6.02 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
59.6%

Draw
25.3%

Juventud Cambados
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Juventud Cambados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Cambados than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Arosa - Juventud Cambados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Arosa is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Boiro - Arosa	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Arosa - Barco	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Compostela - Arosa	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Arosa - Estradense	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Somozas - Arosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWT
- Juventud Cambados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Juventud Cambados - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Noia - Juventud Cambados	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Juventud Cambados - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Barbadás - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Alondras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTW

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