Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Arosa		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.87
	2.3	3	3
	2.42	3	2.75
	2.54	3.13	2.84
	2.44	3.08	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.87 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
38%

Draw
30.2%

Móstoles URJC
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Arosa - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out)).

Recent matches Arosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Móstoles URJC is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.04.22	Compostela - Arosa	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Arosa - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Salamanca - Arosa	4:0 ✺
03.04.22	Arosa - Ceares	3:1 ✺
27.03.22	Langreo - Arosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLWT
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.04.22	Móstoles URJC - Real Avilés	1:4 ✺
17.04.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Coruxo - Móstoles URJC	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Móstoles URJC - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Móstoles URJC - Arosa	1:2

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