Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Arosa		Viveiro

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.95	5.7
	1.48	4.01	6.24
	1.48	4.01	6.12	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.54	4.17	5.48
	1.45	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.15)	5.88 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arosa
61.8%

Draw
22.7%

Viveiro
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Viveiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viveiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Arosa - Viveiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Rey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Lombao A. C. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 4.

Arosa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Viveiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Arosa is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Arosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Viveiro	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Barbadás - Arosa	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Arosa - Alondras	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTW
- Viveiro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Viveiro - Céltiga	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Noia - Viveiro	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Viveiro - Boiro	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	RC Villalbes - Viveiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Viveiro - Arosa	1:2
17.04.25	Arosa - Viveiro	3:2
15.09.24	Viveiro - Arosa	1:0
21.01.24	Arosa - Viveiro	3:0
04.03.23	Arosa - Viveiro	1:0
06.11.22	Viveiro - Arosa	3:1

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