PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18
Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday
Arronches Benfica
SB Castelo Branco
1
X
2
2.3
2.75
3.1
2.23
2.85
3.3
2.5
2.75
3.12
2.27
2.97
3.3
2.32
2.85
3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.32 ↑ (1.85)
2.83 ↓ (3.17)
3.19 ↓ (4.17)
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arronches Benfica 39.3%
Draw 32.2%
SB Castelo Branco 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
28.8%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
27.8%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SB Castelo Branco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arronches Benfica - SB Castelo Branco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).
Arronches Benfica is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches SB Castelo Branco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arronches Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arronches Benfica is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arronches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Arronches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
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