Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	7.49	4.90	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.49 ↓ (8)	4.9 ↑ (4.3)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
12.1%

Draw
18.5%

Shumbrat Saransk
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

21.3%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

16.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shumbrat Saransk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal 2 Tula - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Chubukin A. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Senik D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Shumbrat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	0:5 ✺
04.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TTLLL
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - 2DROTS Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Shumbrat Saransk	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Spartak Tambov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3

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