Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadyen Haradski (Dzerzhinsk)


	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.49	4.5	6.3
	1.49	4.48	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	4.36 ↓ (4.5)	6.02 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
63.2%

Draw
21.3%

Molodechno
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-1%)

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 19. Frantsuzov A. 27. Gaevoy M. 6. Ishutin A. 11. Lovets Y. 41. Lutik D. 18. Mikhalenko A. 13. Oreshkevich I. 88. Shchetinin M. 5. Vegerya R. 4. Vlasenko N.	12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 7. Galimzyanov T. 17. Kats A. 14. Koval I. 2. Kutkovich G. 25. Lysenko N. 29. Samotoy M. 22. Stevanovic L. 3. Udodov I. 27. Usenya S. 10. Vashkevich D.
Substitutes
78. Akunets E. 8. Harutyunyan V. 63. Olimzoda F. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Senko V. 51. Skshinetskiy A. 99. Volkov K.	6. Belashevich V. 44. Davyskiba R. 55. Imeryakov E. 23. Monich I. 1. Tretyak D. (G) 11. Vlasov A. 4. Yushkevich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Mikhalenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Koval I. 🟨,
64', Ishutin A. ↓, Harutyunyan V. ↑,
64', Oreshkevich I. ↓, Volkov K. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Senko V. ⚽,
90+2', Lutik D. ↓, Olimzoda F. ↑,
90+2', Shchetinin M. ↓, Skshinetskiy A. ↑,

Preview

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molodechno has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is the clear favorite.

We predict that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:1. (average 4.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Cup
13.07.25	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Slutsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Gomel - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WLWWW
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Cup
14.07.25	Belshina - Molodechno	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Molodechno	4:1 ✺
27.06.25	Molodechno - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	ML Vitebsk - Molodechno	0:0 ✺
13.06.25	Molodechno - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.06.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno	3:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.11.23	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno	6:0
04.08.23	Molodechno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:3
Belarusian Cup
12.06.19	Molodechno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:5

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