Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Molodechno Haradzki Stadion (Molodechno)


	Molodechno		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.25	2.85
	2.36	3.08	2.84
	1.95	3.55	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.26)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molodechno
41.7%

Draw
27.5%

Smorgon
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

28.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tretyak D. (G) 15. Alshanik A. 49. Chernykh I. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 20. Klenye P. 23. Kotlyarov A. 14. Koval I. 25. Rusakov V. 9. Shmarov E. 78. Solovey F. 8. Velisevich D. (C)	16. Perov D. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 2. Intsoen C. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 23. Stankevich A. 9. Yablonskiy M. (C)
Substitutes
19. Bakinovskiy A. 17. Belashevich V. 33. Diva O. (G) 29. Dubovik T. 55. Imeryakov E. 91. Mamedov T. 21. Sokolovskiy M. 10. Volkovets D. 11. Voronovich A. 77. Yushkevich A.	1. Azarko M. (G) 17. Dukso M. 22. Galko V. 47. Kukhley R. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 27. Tishko A. 25. Yarotskiy Y. 20. Zhabrakov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Koval I. ⚽, Velisevich D. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Chernykh I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
76', 3 - 0, Velisevich D. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Molodechno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Molodechno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Molodechno	26	14	3	9	45:40	5	45
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.07.26	BumProm Gomel - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Molodechno - Minsk 2	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Osipovichi - Molodechno	1:5 ✺
27.06.26	Molodechno - Lida	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Molodechno	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.07.26	Smorgon - Gomel 2	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Smorgon - Minsk	3:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.07.26	Orsha - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Smorgon - Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.11.25	Smorgon - Molodechno	1:0
27.06.25	Molodechno - Smorgon	2:1
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.11.22	Molodechno - Smorgon	0:0
17.07.22	Smorgon - Molodechno	3:1
Club Friendly
11.04.20	Smorgon - Molodechno	3:0
21.03.20	Molodechno - Smorgon	0:5

Molodechno - Smorgon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide