Match Info

Belarusian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Lida)


	Lida		Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.6	1.39
	3.44	4.26	1.72
	5.63	4.6	1.42
	6.78	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (3.54)	4.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.47 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
17.1%

Draw
20.2%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lida's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasilyev A. (G) 18. Askerov R. 21. Burnos A. 13. Karpovich E. 2. Kononchuk E. 11. Kutsepalov D. (C) 22. Manaev V. 7. Radzhabov A. 20. Torgashov N. 17. Vasilkevich M. 23. Yormie T.	30. Soroko A. (C) 19. Frantsuzov A. 27. Gaevoy M. 6. Ishutin A. 55. Kaplenko N. 41. Lutik D. 18. Mikhalenko A. 13. Oreshkevich I. 10. Senko V. 5. Vegerya R. 81. Yakushevich G.
Substitutes
15. Chernyak K. 8. Galushko A. 25. Gremza E. (G) 16. Gremza I. (G) 4. Karpuk N. 14. Khodyko D. 3. Lazarev A. 10. Shepet N. 6. Sosnovskiy A. 5. Zaytsev E.	78. Harutyunyan V. 11. Lovets Y. 1. Sanko I. (G) 51. Skshinetskiy A. 16. Vaschenko A. 99. Volkov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kaplenko N. 🟨,
21', Manaev V. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Frantsuzov A. ⚽,
35', Torgashov N. 🟨,
41', Kaplenko N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Torgashov N. ↓, Karpuk N. ↑,
62', Askerov R. ↓, Galushko A. ↑,
64', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Skshinetskiy A. ↑,
64', Oreshkevich I. ↓, Volkov K. ↑,
72', Karpovich E. ↓, Lazarev A. ↑,
72', Vasilkevich M. ↓, Sosnovskiy A. ↑,
73', Senko V. ↓, Lovets Y. ↑,
85', Kutsepalov D. ↓, Shepet N. ↑,
90', Lutik D. ↓, Harutyunyan V. ↑,
90+5', Mikhalenko A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 0.

Recent performances by Lida have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lida won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.06.25	Lida - Uni X Labs Minsk	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Lida - Osipovichi	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Niva Dolbizno - Lida	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Lida	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Lida - BumProm Gomel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Slutsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Gomel - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.10.23	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Lida	7:2
03.06.23	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:2
Belarusian Cup
23.06.22	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:3
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
09.10.21	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1
25.07.21	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Lida	1:1
05.05.21	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1
01.11.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Lida	1:2

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