The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 25.7%
Draw 26.9%
Neman Grodno 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.2%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
26%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.
Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neman Grodno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Neman Grodno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanko I. (G) 90. Antilevskiy D. 8. Kaplenko N. 71. Matveev M. 13. Oreshkevich I. 23. Polyakov D. 77. Sotnikov N. 46. Vasilyev V. 9. Vasin I. 18. Volskiy D. 31. Zaleskiy A.
35. Veydyger K. (G) 19. Dayneko A. 15. Evdokimov O. 22. Kirko I. 6. Nazarenko A. 8. Pantya Y. 9. Pushnyakov S. 20. Sadovnichiy I. 33. Spataru D. 2. Tonkevich V. 24. Yakimov A.
Substitutes
33. Gorbachik V. 17. Kotlyarov P. 41. Lutik D. 34. Martinovich D. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 30. Soroko A. (G) 26. Tkachenko V.
59. Devyaten A. 30. Ednach A. 55. Girs D. 18. Kravtsov M. 16. Matysyuk N. (G) 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 88. Savitskiy P. 50. Shalashnikov A. 4. Vasiljev A. 23. Yormie T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Oreshkevich I. 🟨,
24', Polyakov D. ↓, Lutik D. ↑,
36', Sotnikov N. ↓, Tkachenko V. ↑,
38', Dayneko A. ↓, Savitskiy P. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Savitskiy P. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Vasin I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tonkevich V. ↓, Girs D. ↑,
48', Pushnyakov S. 🟨,
58', Sadovnichiy I. ↓, Vasiljev A. ↑,
58', Spataru D. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
65', Tkachenko V. 🟨,
66', Evdokimov O. ↓, Yormie T. ↑,
73', Kaplenko N. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Vasilyev V. ⚽,
82', Vasin I. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Savitskiy P. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
94', Yakimov A. ↓, Pavlyukovets Y. ↑,
100', 2 - 3, Kravtsov M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Neman is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Neman could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Neman Grodno - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Usa
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Sanko I. (G) 
Matveev M. 
Pantya Y. 
Spataru D. 
Yormie T. 
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