The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 40.8%
Draw 29.8%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
28.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
BATE Borisov - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. BATE will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sokol D. (G) 14. Telesh M. 5. Sakuta M. 10. Rusakov E. 6. Moussakhanian H. 24. Yatskevich V. 52. Kress E. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 8. Apanasevich K. 42. Zhurin A. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C)
30. Soroko A. (G) 31. Zaleskiy A. 41. Lutik D. 23. Polyakov D. 77. Sotnikov N. 7. Mokin M. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 18. Volskiy D. 90. Antilevskiy D. 9. Vasin I. 2. Bozhko E.
Substitutes
7. Angban V. 32. Chernik S. (G) 19. Chernykh I. 88. Dubovskiy P. 11. Grivenev E. 3. Intsoen C. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 9. Mirskiy N. 30. Yarmolich A.
4. Akunets E. 33. Gorbachik V. 8. Kaplenko N. 13. Oreshkevich I. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 26. Tkachenko V. 99. Tolkachev I. 46. Vasilyev V. 95. Vorobyov I.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.
Trukhov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Yatskevich V. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Sakuta M. ⚽, Neskoromnyi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Apanasevich K. ↓, Yarmolich A. ↑,
46', Zhurin A. ↓, Dubovskiy P. ↑,
46', Bozhko E. ↓, Vasilyev V. ↑,
46', Volskiy D. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
57', Lutik D. ↓, Oreshkevich I. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Mokin M. ⚽, Antilevskiy D. (A),
65', Vasin I. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Sakuta M. ⚽, Neskoromnyi N. (A),
79', Zaleskiy A. ↓, Vorobyov I. ↑,
80', Moussakhanian H. ↓, Chernykh I. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Mokin M. ⚽, Antilevskiy D. (A),
86', 2 - 3, Gorbachik V. ⚽, Mokin M. (A),
87', Telesh M. ↓, Mikhnyuk I. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 3.
Recent performances by BATE have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
BATE is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, BATE won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).