The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 24.7%
Draw 30.2%
Gomel 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
30%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
28.9%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gomel Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Gomel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gomel: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 90. Antilevskiy D. 33. Gorbachik V. 8. Kaplenko N. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 7. Mokin M. 13. Oreshkevich I. 23. Polyakov D. 77. Sotnikov N. 26. Tkachenko V. 31. Zaleskiy A.
49. Karatai A. (G) 23. Danilin K. 21. Kovalevich D. 90. Kukushkin G. 13. Lisakovich D. 14. Pashevich P. 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 11. Simanenka T. 33. Sotnikov V. 16. Zayats I.
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 2. Bozhko E. 17. Kotlyarov P. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 99. Tolkachev I. 9. Vasin I. 18. Volskiy D.
8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 4. Gavrilovich A. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 9. Leonovich K. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 77. Savitskiy A. 30. Troyakov E.
Coaches
Voronkov I.
Gorovtsov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Kovalevich D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Gorbachik V. ⚽,
45+1', Antilevskiy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Polyakov D. 🟨,
49', Kovalevich D. 🟨,
53', Lisakovich D. 🟨,
57', Pashevich P. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
57', Lisakovich D. ↓, Leonovich K. ↑,
58', Kaplenko N. ↓, Volskiy D. ↑,
62', Gorbachik V. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
62', Tkachenko V. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Leonovich K. ⚽,
86', Antilevskiy D. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
90', Sotnikov N. 🟨,
90+1', Simanenka T. ↓, Emeljanov D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Gomel is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).