The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 27.1%
Draw 27.9%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
24.1%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
23.5%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naftan's performance.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naftan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naftan - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Shelikov D. (G) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 8. Stefanishin A. 7. Tumanov A. 50. Mafwenta G. 24. Seleznev I. 11. Pranovich I. 10. Savitskiy A. 9. Yakovlev V. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
30. Soroko A. (C) 31. Zaleskiy A. 23. Polyakov D. 46. Vasilyev V. 13. Oreshkevich I. 26. Tkachenko V. 8. Kaplenko N. 18. Volskiy D. 71. Matveev M. 33. Gorbachik V. 90. Antilevskiy D.
Substitutes
30. Aymanov M. 14. Chmut I. 88. Drabatovich A. 22. Fezhenko V. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitski K. 20. Leshchenok E. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G)
4. Akunets E. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 11. Tsallagov D. 9. Vasin I. 19. Veretennikov A.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Voronkov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Yakovlev V. ⚽, Chernyavskiy V. (A),
28', Zaleskiy A. ↓, Tsallagov D. ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Pranovich I. ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Voskoboynikov A. ↓, Aymanov M. ↑,
46', Matveev M. ↓, Akunets E. ↑,
46', Kaplenko N. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Seleznev I. ⚽, Aymanov M. (A),
62', Mafwenta G. 🟨,
74', Seleznev I. ↓, Fezhenko V. ↑,
81', Chernyavskiy V. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
81', Oreshkevich I. ↓, Veretennikov A. ↑,
88', Pranovich I. ↓, Chmut I. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 3.
Naftan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Naftan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).