Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)

Referee: Dmitriev D. (Blr)


	Smorgon		Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.05	3.33	2.29
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.31	3.34	2.23	Watch
	3.3	3.24	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.41)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
28.8%

Draw
28.8%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

30.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 33. Fazylov A. 77. Bogdanovich I. 3. Intsoen C. (C) 5. Firsov A. 7. Levkovets A. 6. Doumbia S. 8. Maslovskiy V. 2. Bamba M. 91. Budko M. 15. Babich E.	30. Soroko A. (G) 18. Mikhalenko A. 5. Vegerya R. 46. Vasilyev V. 99. Volkov K. 6. Ishutin A. 77. Sotnikov N. 41. Lutik D. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 8. Harutyunyan V. 19. Frantsuzov A.
Substitutes
18. Aliyu H. S. 19. Azarko M. (G) 25. Bamba L. 9. Chebotar V. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 17. Dukso M. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.	78. Akunets E. 17. Mokin M. 63. Olimzoda F. 13. Oreshkevich I. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Senko V. 88. Shchetinin M. 51. Skshinetskiy A. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 4. Vlasenko N.
Coaches
Dorokhovich S.	Yakushin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Mikhalenko A. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Levkovets A. (Pen),
4', 1 - 1, Lutik D. ⚽,
43', Volkov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Volkov K. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
46', Mikhalenko A. ↓, Oreshkevich I. ↑,
52', Doumbia S. 🟨,
53', Levkovets A. 🟨,
65', Lovets Y. ↓, Senko V. ↑,
66', Bamba M. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
66', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
71', Ishutin A. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
80', Bogdanovich I. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
84', Budko M. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
88', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Mokin M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.08.25	Smorgon - Slutsk	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
13.07.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.25	Smorgon - Gomel	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Molodechno - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Smorgon - Isloch Minsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWLL
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.08.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - ML Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
02.08.25	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.07.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Molodechno	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Lida - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	1:1
03.11.24	Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:0
16.06.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	2:0
Belarusian Cup
22.06.21	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	2:1
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.07.20	Smorgon - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1

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