Match Info

Primera B - Round 37

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Liniers

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6.75
	1.58	3.35	5.10	Watch
	1.45	3.78	7.53
	1.46	3.69	7.3	Watch
	1.43	3.70	7.25
	1.51	3.67	7.34
	1.44	3.75	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)	6.81 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
61.8%

Draw
24.8%

Liniers
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liniers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+5%)

Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Brienzo N. 4. Caceres R. 11. Del Col M. 9. Kestler I. 8. Lucero M. 6. Payes A. 3. Perez D. (C) 7. Trombini M. 5. Vila J. 10. Wrubel E.	1. Rotundo M. (G) 6. Bouvier J. 7. Coria T. 4. Di Motta R. 11. Fernandez G. 3. Fiordeliso M. 10. Gallegos E. 8. Penoni A. 2. Rodon F. 9. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J.
Substitutes
14. Antilef A. 17. Cabral D. 19. Franco L. 16. Frascone N. 13. Goncebat J. 18. La Roza U. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 15. Vega A.	19. Camejo F. 14. Canosa J. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 16. Mackay G. 15. Palacio S. 20. Sallaberry I. 17. Tejada U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Brienzo N. ⚽,
37', Wrubel E. 🟨,
39', Roth J. 🟥,
42', Payes A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Payes A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gallegos E. ↓, Palacio S. ↑,
46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
62', Fernandez G. 🟨,
70', Fiordeliso M. ↓, Canosa J. ↑,
71', Lucero M. ↓, Antilef A. ↑,
71', Trombini M. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
71', Frascone N. 🟨,
73', Wrubel E. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
73', Kestler I. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
78', Payes A. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
85', Bouvier J. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', Fernandez G. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 17th).

Arsenal Sarandí has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Liniers has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Arsenal Sarandí as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Arsenal Sarandí in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.26	Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
20.09.26	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Liniers	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Liniers - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Liniers - Deportivo Armenio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Liniers - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0

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