The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liniers 42.3%
Draw 32%
Argentino de Merlo 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
31.3%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
30.9%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Liniers - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Moreno F. 🟨,
20', Ursino D. 🟨,
22', Cacace J. 🟨,
43', Lopez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
65', Fiordeliso M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Romero L. ⚽,
79', Pereyra E. 🟨,
85', Moreno F. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Romero L. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 1.
In recent outings, Liniers has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Argentino de Merlo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Liniers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Liniers has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Liniers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Argentina
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