Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arsenal Tula		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	7.62	4.66	1.43
	7.85	4.9	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.74 ↓ (10.9)	4.78 ↓ (5.97)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
12.5%

Draw
20.3%

Lokomotiv Moscow
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 17. Ahlinvi M. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 14. Brnovic M. 99. Guliev A. 11. Ignatjev I. 9. Maksimov M. 4. Penchikov D. 8. Popov A. 7. Reyes E.	1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 83. Batrakov A. 93. Karpukas A. 27. Komlichenko N. 3. Lucas Fasson 23. Montes C. 85. Morozov E. 24. Nenakhov M. 9. Pinyaev S. 25. Prutsev D. 19. Rudenko A.
Substitutes
24. Azyavin I. 45. Karmaev N. 35. Kholin M. (G) 95. Obryvkov S. 25. Oleynik S. 77. Plotnikov D. 5. Putsko A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 33. Shramko D. 50. Sokolov I. 22. Tsaraev A.	90. Godyaev D. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 5. Nyamsi G. 59. Pogostnov E. 2. Ramirez C. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Sarveli V. 94. Timofeev A. 32. Vera L. 16. Veselov D. (G) 10. Vorobyev D.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Galaktionov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Pinyaev S. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
27', Botaka-Yoboma E. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Morozov E. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Karpukas A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Bolshakov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Karpukas A. 🟨,
50', Putsko A. 🟨,
64', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,
69', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
69', Vera L. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
80', Penchikov D. ↓, Plotnikov D. ↑,
83', Batrakov A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Rudenko A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.

Arsenal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 1.82%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
27.02.26	KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Arsenal Tula - Atyrau	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Orenburg - Arsenal Tula	Canceled ✺
02.02.26	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:4 ✺
29.01.26	Arsenal Tula - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TW?LL
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Pyunik	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Samarqand	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Yelimay Semey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.06.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1
Russian Premier League
29.11.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:1
24.07.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	3:1
08.03.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:3
21.11.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
06.12.19	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	4:0
06.10.19	Lokomotiv Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1

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