Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday


	Orenburg		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	1.63	4	4.93	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)	4.97 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
57.5%

Draw
23.8%

Arsenal Tula
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg's performance.

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Orenburg - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.

Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orenburg is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
05.12.25	Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
26.11.25	Krasnodar - Orenburg	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
22.11.25	Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- Arsenal Tula
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:4 ✺
29.01.26	Arsenal Tula - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Arsenal Tula - OFK Beograd	Canceled ✺
Russian FNL
30.11.25	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.11.25	Arsenal Tula - Rubin Kazan	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LL?TW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
07.03.20	Orenburg - Arsenal Tula	2:0
25.08.19	Arsenal Tula - Orenburg	2:1
29.04.19	Orenburg - Arsenal Tula	1:1
Russian Cup
06.03.19	Arsenal Tula - Orenburg	1:1
28.11.18	Orenburg - Arsenal Tula	2:4
Russian Premier League
27.10.18	Arsenal Tula - Orenburg	2:2
04.03.17	Orenburg - Arsenal Tula	3:0

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