Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: VEB Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Brazil	BandSports
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CSKA Moscow		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.75	4.06
	1.89	3.65	3.9
	1.97	3.84	4.04
	1.93	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	3.9 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
49.6%

Draw
25.9%

Lokomotiv Moscow
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Torop V. (G) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 3. Krugovoy D. 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 31. Kislyak M. 7. Matheus Alves 20. Popovic M. 32. Gondou L. 17. Glebov K.	1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 45. Silyanov A. 5. Nyamsi G. 23. Montes C. 3. Lucas Fasson 75. Eremeev I. 6. Babkin S. 7. Bakaev Z. 8. Kovalenko A. 19. Rudenko A. 99. Myalkovskiy R.
Substitutes
23. Abdulkadyrov D. 52. Bandikyan A. 6. Barinov D. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 39. Borisko M. (G) 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 2. Matheus Reis 11. Musaev T. 84. Vakulich A.	74. Chevardin D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 47. Godyaev D. 63. Golubev V. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 24. Nenakhov M. 9. Pinyaev S. 59. Pogostnov E. 11. Rakov V. 17. Saltykov N. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Igdisamov D.	Galaktionov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Silyanov A. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Gondou L. ⚽, Kislyak M. (A),
45+2', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Myalkovskiy R. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Danilov K. ⚽,
65', Kovalenko A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Matheus Alves ⚽, Gajic M. (A),
70', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
71', Rudenko A. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
71', Matheus Alves ↓, Barinov D. ↑,
74', Danilov K. 🟨,
75', 3 - 2, Pinyaev S. ⚽, Rakov V. (A),
75', Popovic M. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
75', Montes C. ↓, Dzhikiya G. ↑,
81', Gondou L. 🟨,
81', Gondou L. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
82', Glebov K. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
82', Barinov D. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.

CSKA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

CSKA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in CSKA: Akinfeev I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lokomotiv: Karpukas A. (Inactive) Komlichenko N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in CSKA: Matheus Reis (Injury)

There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Montes C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.69% Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19
12	Lokomotiv Moscow	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTT
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.08.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
04.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:1
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:0
Russian Premier League
17.05.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:1
Club Friendly
21.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	3:0
Russian Cup
01.10.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	0:1 penalties
30.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1

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