The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSKA Moscow 54.9%
Draw 23.5%
Lokomotiv Moscow 21.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47%
27.5%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
25.3%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA Moscow's performance.
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+2%)
CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Torop V. (G) 23. Abdulkadyrov D. 52. Bandikyan A. 32. Gondou L. 37. Henrique Carmo 4. Joao Victor 18. Kozlov D. 3. Krugovoy D. 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 10. Oblyakov I. (C)
22. Lantratov I. (C) 14. Dzhikiya G. 47. Godyaev D. 27. Komlichenko N. 8. Kovalenko A. 3. Lucas Fasson 85. Morozov E. 77. Mostovoy A. 11. Rakov V. 88. Shchetinin M. 18. Titkov N.
Substitutes
21. Azzi M. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 39. Borisko M. (G) 79. Danilov K. 62. Firov I. 17. Glebov K. 31. Kislyak M. 11. Musaev T. 19. Oleynikov I. 20. Popovic M. 68. Tveritnev S. 97. Voronov M.
74. Chevardin D. 75. Eremeev I. 63. Golubev V. 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 24. Nenakhov M. 5. Nyamsi G. 19. Rudenko A. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Igdisamov D.
Galaktionov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Kovalenko A. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Kozlov D. ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
9', Lucas Fasson 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
32', Matheus Alves 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Kovalenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lukin M. ↓, Danilov K. ↑,
46', Krugovoy D. ↓, Azzi M. ↑,
46', Oblyakov I. ↓, Kislyak M. ↑,
63', Mostovoy A. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
64', Kozlov D. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Dzhikiya G. (Own goal),
70', Gondou L. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
73', Lucas Fasson ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
73', Titkov N. ↓, Eremeev I. ↑,
73', Komlichenko N. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
81', Godyaev D. 🟨,
83', Kovalenko A. ↓, Chevardin D. ↑,
89', Dzhikiya G. 🟨,
90+3', Musaev T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
CSKA is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, CSKA has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with CSKA holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, CSKA has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:30 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for CSKA against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Argentina
Asia
Belarus
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Russia
South America
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Torop V. (G) 
Bandikyan A. 
Gondou L. 
Henrique Carmo 
Azzi M. 
Popovic M. 
Myalkovskiy R. 
Nyamsi G. 
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