The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 36.9%
Draw 29.5%
Spartak Kostroma 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
29.4%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
28.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (Promotion: )).
Arsenal is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak Kostroma shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Arsenal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Arsenal has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
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