Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Arturo Fernández Vial		Deportes Rengo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.13	3.34	2.11
	3.13	3.34	2.11
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.24	3.18	2.19
	3	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.85)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
29.3%

Draw
28.3%

Deportes Rengo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.5%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arturo Fernández Vial's performance.

Deportes Rengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arturo Fernández Vial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Rengo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Rengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Rengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Arturo Fernández Vial is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rengo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arturo Fernández Vial could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rengo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Segunda Division
11.05.24	Deportes Linares - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	San Antonio Unido - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTTL
- Deportes Rengo
Chilean Segunda Division
11.05.24	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Osorno	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Rengo	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Concón National	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
23.09.23	Deportes Rengo - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:1
13.05.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Rengo	1:0

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