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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 22.2%
Draw 27.2%
Empoli 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
28.7%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
18.7%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Empoli's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.9%
22.2%
63.9%
Ascoli - Empoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Empoli will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 48.2% โ 79.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).
Ascoli has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Empoli has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (93%).
Ascoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Empoli in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Empoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Empoli will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Watch
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