Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Ascoli		Rimini

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.83	3.53	4.63
	1.73	3.59	4.83	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.68	3.45	4.68	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.07)	3.51 ↑ (3.1)	4.49 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
53.2%

Draw
26.3%

Rimini
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rimini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ascoli - Rimini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Rimini will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Livieri A. (G) 19. Menna D. 2. Curado M. 28. Gagliolo R. 6. Adjapong C. 21. Campagna S. 24. Bando A. 5. Bertini M. 27. Cozzoli F. 32. Tremolada L. 18. Corazza S.	91. Colombi S. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 6. Gorelli M. 98. Lepri T. 3. Falbo L. 23. Megelaitis L. 5. Fiorini M. 33. Langella C. 80. Garetto M. 9. Cernigoi I. 34. Ubaldi L.
Substitutes
22. Abati L. (G) 44. Achik I. 10. Alagna M. 67. Caccavo L. 70. Gagliardi M. 23. Maiga Silvestri Y. 25. Marsura D. 3. Maurizii E. 7. Piermarini M. 13. Quaranta D. 99. Raffaelli M. (G) 77. Silipo A. 11. Tavcar A. 14. Tirelli M.	20. Accursi D. 2. Brisku B. 46. Cinquegrano S. 30. De Vitis A. 29. Dobrev K. 25. Lombardi A. 28. Longobardi G. 97. Parigi G. 21. Piccoli M. 8. Semeraro F. 1. Vitali L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Falbo L. 🟨,
21', Gagliolo R. 🟨,
45+3', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ubaldi L. ↓, Parigi G. ↑,
48', Gorelli M. 🟨,
52', Bertini M. ↓, Marsura D. ↑,
64', Fiorini M. ↓, Piccoli M. ↑,
64', Cernigoi I. ↓, De Vitis A. ↑,
65', Cozzoli F. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
65', Tremolada L. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
69', Curado M. ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
69', Adjapong C. ↓, Alagna M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
77', Quaranta D. 🟨,
88', Garetto M. ↓, Accursi D. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rimini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rimini - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Carpi - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Ascoli - Lucchese	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Milan Futuro - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Ascoli - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLW
- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Perugia - Rimini	1:4 ✺
23.09.24	Rimini - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Rimini - Pescara	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rimini - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

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