Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
World	FIFA+


	Carpi		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.05	3.1	1.9
	4.42	3.15	1.91
	4.14	3.08	1.97	Watch
	4.06	3.13	1.88	Watch
	4.4	3.35	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↓ (4.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
21.8%

Draw
29.1%

Ascoli
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.9%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

28.1%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Carpi - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 17. Lombardi L. 6. Panelli T. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 3. Rigo M. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 11. Casarini F. 10. Stanzani L.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 2. Pagliai G. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 16. Tcheuna R. 26. Toure M. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Pagliai G. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
72', Casarini F. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
72', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
72', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Sall A. ⚽,
84', Stanzani L. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
90', Rizzo Pinna A. 🟨,
90+1', Lombardi L. 🟨,
90+4', Rosetti M. ↓, Verza N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 0.

Carpi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.25	Bra - Carpi	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Arezzo - Carpi	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Carpi - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sambenedettese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
12.10.25	Ascoli - Pontedera	5:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ascoli - Bra	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.25	Ascoli - Carpi	2:1
26.09.24	Carpi - Ascoli	2:2
Italian Serie B
02.03.19	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1
20.10.18	Ascoli - Carpi	1:0
07.04.18	Ascoli - Carpi	2:0
04.11.17	Carpi - Ascoli	4:2
01.04.17	Ascoli - Carpi	1:2

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